Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.002607 0.002780 0.002966 0.003183 0.003429 0.003704 0.004036
2025-01-05 0.002312 0.002541 0.002802 0.003126 0.003523 0.004006 0.004653
2025-01-12 0.002088 0.002340 0.002637 0.003023 0.003524 0.004174 0.005123
2025-01-19 0.001962 0.002234 0.002566 0.003013 0.003624 0.004468 0.005816
2025-01-26 0.001785 0.002049 0.002376 0.002825 0.003453 0.004353 0.005866
2025-02-02 0.001722 0.001999 0.002350 0.002847 0.003571 0.004666 0.006674
2025-02-09 0.001692 0.001987 0.002371 0.002931 0.003784 0.005161 0.007976
2025-02-16 0.001641 0.001944 0.002345 0.002944 0.003888 0.005496 0.009110
2025-02-23 0.001625 0.001946 0.002379 0.003046 0.004146 0.006158 0.011382
2025-03-02 0.001566 0.001885 0.002320 0.003002 0.004153 0.006345 0.012555
2025-03-09 0.001502 0.001815 0.002245 0.002926 0.004094 0.006384 0.013323
2025-03-16 0.001483 0.001805 0.002255 0.002983 0.004279 0.006986 0.016641
2025-03-23 0.001457 0.001787 0.002256 0.003034 0.004474 0.007715 0.022113
2025-03-30 0.001406 0.001732 0.002199 0.002984 0.004471 0.007968 0.026037
2025-04-06 0.001348 0.001664 0.002120 0.002890 0.004368 0.007932 0.028156
2025-04-13 0.001315 0.001631 0.002091 0.002882 0.004438 0.008404 0.036956
2025-04-20 0.001245 0.001542 0.001972 0.002707 0.004142 0.007730 0.031381
2025-04-27 0.001225 0.001525 0.001964 0.002728 0.004263 0.008354 0.045455
2025-05-04 0.001219 0.001528 0.001988 0.002806 0.004520 0.009552 0.104545
2025-05-11 0.001199 0.001509 0.001975 0.002817 0.004631 0.010321 0.310595
2025-05-18 0.001197 0.001518 0.002007 0.002912 0.004956 0.012215 NaN
2025-05-25 0.001168 0.001485 0.001968 0.002871 0.004940 0.012582 NaN
2025-06-01 0.001135 0.001444 0.001916 0.002801 0.004837 0.012478 NaN